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WEEK 4 KICKOFF, THURSDAY NIGHT PICK

 After last week’s 12-4 record, I’m basically in Bruce Cockburn territory here, wondering where the lions are. (I know they’re in Chicago, but I mean the figurative lions that can wreck your parlay). I’m at 34-14 for the year, and that feels unsustainable. 

There’s not a lot of guidance from the markets on tonight’s Thursday night clash, likely because betting interest may be low. The Bengals and Jaguars are not exactly dominant franchises or big markets, although there is the appeal of seeing the last two #1 pucks go head to head. Joe Burrow looked solid in getting a win over the fading Steelers, and Trevor Lawrence made some big league throws and some bush league mistakes, scaring Arizona for a half before giving the Cards the late cover.

The line moved from 7 to 7.5 for Cindy, likely driven by some public reaction to finally besting their divisional bullies from Pittsburgh. The sharps are pretty split, so we are on our own to bet….

CINCINNATI -7.5 over Jacksonville

Sooner or later this will get me, but I’m fading the Jags on a short week for their rookie QB and rookie pro coach, who looks a bit overmatched. I suspect there will be some lapses on both sides of the ball for the young Jags and that will let the Bengals get the second score. I’m also on the over at 46, as I think Trevor Lawrence will get behind, throw, and make some plays for both teams thus driving up the score. 

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