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WEEK 11 NFL PICKS

 PREMIUM PICKS

SEAHAWKS -2.5 over Cards

The need factor should be enough to cover this against a backup QB. Cards will give Kyler Murray the bye week.

WASHINGTON +3.5 over Panthers

I like the hook.  Everyone is excited by Cam Newton’s return, but I don’t see him being a huge upgrade at this point. 

LIONS +13 over Browns

We gained a few points when Jared Goff was announced out, but he hasn’t played well.  The Lions have quietly paid spread bettors well, going 4-1 ATS last 5

COWBOYS +2.5 over Chiefs

One week hasn’t sold me on the Chiefs giving points to a premium opponent.

COLTS +7.5 over Bills

That hook is too much given the trends for these teams.

TEXANS +10.5 over Titans

Tyrod Taylor can keep it close in what may be a let-up game for Tennessee


MIDDLING PICKS

PACKERS -1 over Vikings

This road trip is usually a trap for good Packer teams, but it hasn’t been for Matt Lafleur, so let’s ride the Packers’ cover streak.

DOLPHINS -3.5 over Jets

I don’t like the hook, but I like Joe Flacco off the street even less. 


NINERS -6 over Jags

I’m nervous because the Niners alternate good and bad performances, but this line is still pretty small considering it’s the Jags, and the public is split.


WILD ASS GUESS

Saints +1.5 over Eagles

Two teams who are like a box of chocolates….you never know what you’ll get. Let’s fade the streaky team that won last week.


BENGALS -1 over Raiders

All things being equal, fade the Vegas home team


STEELERS +6 over Chargers

Wouldn’t trust either team with a spread over 4.


FALCONS +7 over Patriots

I like teams coming off blowout losses to get extra points.  Even, reluctantly, Atlanta.


Last week8-6

Season 95-55


RoI 608%

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